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$1,922,627,141

420,368

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4,484

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5

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KC Chiefs vs LV Raiders: 4th Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of KC Chiefs vs LV Raiders?

Volume:
$28,873

KC Chiefs wins by over 1.5 points

 - Kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 1.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 7:47 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,325
N/A
N/A
$2,610
Settled
Yes
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,330
N/A
N/A
$2,845
Settled
Yes
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,844
N/A
N/A
$1,735
Settled
Yes
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,500
N/A
N/A
$4,080
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,381
N/A
N/A
$2,122
Settled
No
kalshi

LV Raiders wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,344
N/A
N/A
$2,001
Settled
No
kalshi

LV Raiders wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,200
N/A
N/A
$2,182
Settled
No
kalshi

LV Raiders wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,501
N/A
N/A
$1,399
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,489
N/A
N/A
$1,188
Settled
No
kalshi

LV Raiders wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,040
N/A
N/A
$1,016
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$962
N/A
N/A
$960
Settled
No
kalshi

LV Raiders wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$636
N/A
N/A
$636
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$323
N/A
N/A
$322
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This set of markets tracks how decisively either team wins during the final quarter of a football game, focusing exclusively on points scored in that period. Bettors can assess the likelihood of a dominant performance in the last quarter, independent of the overall game outcome.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders during the 4th quarter of their scheduled game on October 4, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team to resolve as 'Yes'. If the Chiefs win by more than the specified margin (ranging from 1.5 to 10.5 points), the corresponding market resolves positively for them. Conversely, if the Raiders win by more than their specified margin (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points), the relevant market resolves positively for them. If neither team meets their respective threshold for a given market, it resolves as 'No'. All outcomes depend entirely on in-game performance during the final quarter, with no consideration given to points scored in earlier quarters or the overall game result.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Chiefs-Raiders 4th quarter spread tracks the current price of contracts representing predictions on the point differential in the fourth quarter of the game. You'll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $26,450. The total volume traded on this market is $28,873. This allows you to see how much activity there is and how traders are positioning themselves before the game.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can provide a broader perspective on the expected result and potential value.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain spread, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are essentially betting against each other, and the market price reflects the collective expectation of the spread in the 4th quarter. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the game's potential outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread in the 4th quarter of the Chiefs-Raiders game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and will determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the 4th quarter spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the game closely as it progresses to understand how the outcome is unfolding.

Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Chiefs or the Raiders would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. In-game events, such as early scoring drives or turnovers, will also have an immediate impact on the price of contracts. Public sentiment and late-breaking analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to fluctuations in this market.