TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 11:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Samsung Lions and Kia Tigers, scheduled for October 28 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Samsung Lions" if the Samsung Lions win the game. This market will resolve to "Kia Tigers" if the Kia Tigers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Samsung Lions and Kia Tigers, scheduled for October 28 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Samsung Lions" if the Samsung Lions win the game. This market will resolve to "Kia Tigers" if the Kia Tigers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, attempting to accurately forecast the probability of each team winning. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics and expert analysis, prediction markets can dynamically adjust based on new information and changing sentiment, potentially providing a more accurate reflection of the true probabilities as the series progresses. It’s a fascinating comparison to observe.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information, expert opinions, and overall market sentiment surrounding the Samsung Lions and Kia Tigers playoff series. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date predictions.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the KBO Playoff series between the Samsung Lions and the Kia Tigers is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results declared by the KBO league. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market's settlement data shortly after the series concludes. The market’s resolution is determined by the official outcome of the playoff series, not by any subjective interpretation or external factors.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Samsung Lions or the Kia Tigers would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Unexpected changes in pitching rotations or significant performance fluctuations during regular season games leading up to the playoffs could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, expert analysis and public polls predicting the series outcome might sway market participants. Finally, any major upsets or surprising results in early playoff games will undoubtedly lead to substantial movement in this market as traders reassess the likelihood of each team advancing.