TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 11:17 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Women's World Cup Qualification game between Kazakhstan and Ireland, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Kazakhstan vs. Ireland match originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Women's World Cup Qualification game between Kazakhstan and Ireland, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Kazakhstan vs. Ireland match originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of each exact score. If a significant difference emerges, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on Polymarket and a sportsbook. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each exact score outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of each result. The market’s pricing is entirely driven by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Kazakhstan vs. Ireland match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score reported by official sources will determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result as resolution approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 9, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, weather conditions, or tactical adjustments could shift traders’ expectations. Unexpected announcements about player form or team morale could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, general soccer news and analysis, as well as public sentiment expressed through polls or expert predictions, might cause traders to reassess the probabilities of different exact scores.