TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 1:57 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the Over/Under 3.5 goals outcome for the UEFA Nations League match between Kazakhstan and Faroe Islands. Currently, the consensus probability of Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands going Over/Under 3.5 goals is 100.0%. This aggregate reflects data from Predict and Polymarket, and will resolve according to the official final score reported on uefa.com. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for resolution on October 6, 2026, as that date marks the end of the betting period and will determine the final outcome.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 6 at 10:00 AM ET.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 6 at 10:00 AM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individuals. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may be more sensitive to nuanced information or expert opinions. The current volume on this market is $1,198,912, suggesting a level of interest that can sometimes translate into more accurate predictions than those offered by sportsbooks. However, both offer valuable perspectives on the likely outcome of the Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands match.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market design. Polymarket currently favors Spread: Kazakhstan (-3.5) at 99%, while Predict leans toward Spread: Faroe Islands (-5.5) at an unspecified percentage. These differences arise because each platform attracts a unique set of traders with varying information and risk tolerance. Furthermore, the specific rules and interfaces of each platform can influence how people interpret and react to information, leading to price discrepancies for this market. The volume of $1,198,912 also plays a role, as lower volume can amplify price swings.