TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 8:16 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game between Kayserispor and Manisa Futbol Kulubu, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Kayserispor vs. Manisa Futbol Kulubu match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game between Kayserispor and Manisa Futbol Kulubu, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Kayserispor vs. Manisa Futbol Kulubu match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores in the Kayserispor vs. Manisa match, and the price of each share reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are influenced by news, team form, injuries, and overall sentiment surrounding the game, all aggregated through the decisions of individual traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Kayserispor vs. Manisa match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to the exact score that occurred during the official match. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will be considered as part of the final result. Traders who correctly predicted the exact score will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Kayserispor or Manisa Futbol Kulubu would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match commentary from analysts, could influence trading activity and move the odds. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of different exact scores has the potential to move this market.