TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:16 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Kawasaki Frontale and Nagoya Grampus, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Kawasaki Frontale" if Kawasaki Frontale are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Nagoya Grampus" if Nagoya Grampus are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Kawasaki Frontale and Nagoya Grampus, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Kawasaki Frontale" if Kawasaki Frontale are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Nagoya Grampus" if Nagoya Grampus are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, potentially leading to more efficient pricing. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information available to each group, and the incentive structures at play. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current probability of Kawasaki Frontale or Nagoya Grampus scoring first is reflected in the share prices, which fluctuate based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each scenario.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team, if any, scores the first goal in the Kawasaki Frontale versus Nagoya Grampus match. If neither team manages to score during regular play, the 'Neither team to score first' outcome will be declared the winner. The result will be determined by official match data and verified against reliable sports news sources, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Kawasaki Frontale or Nagoya Grampus would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions impacting the match could also play a role. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match team news are also likely to move the market. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s scoring potential could impact the price of shares in this market.