TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:16 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Japan J. League game between Kawasaki Frontale and Nagoya Grampus, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Kawasaki Frontale vs. Nagoya Grampus match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Japan J. League game between Kawasaki Frontale and Nagoya Grampus, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Kawasaki Frontale vs. Nagoya Grampus match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. This can sometimes lead to more accurate probabilities, especially when considering the collective knowledge of informed traders. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before a large amount of volume is traded.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each exact score. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are traded, the price fluctuates, reflecting the changing sentiment of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the pricing on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Kawasaki Frontale vs. Nagoya Grampus match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score reported by official sources will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result. It’s important to note that the resolution relies on official data and may take some time to be finalized after the event concludes.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Kawasaki Frontale or Nagoya Grampus would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match tactical announcements from the managers, could also move the market. A large volume of trading activity initiated by a well-known or respected trader could also trigger a response from other participants.