TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:38 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Kawasaki Frontale and Fagiano Okayama, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Kawasaki Frontale" if Kawasaki Frontale are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Fagiano Okayama" if Fagiano Okayama are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Kawasaki Frontale and Fagiano Okayama, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Kawasaki Frontale" if Kawasaki Frontale are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Fagiano Okayama" if Fagiano Okayama are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If many traders believe a team is more likely to score first than sportsbooks suggest, the price will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of market participants. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially closer to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price dynamically adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The higher the demand for a particular outcome, the higher its share price will climb, indicating a greater perceived likelihood of that team scoring first. This creates a real-time probability assessment.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team – Kawasaki Frontale or Fagiano Okayama – scores the first goal in the match. The official match records will serve as the source for determining the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially declared and the market is settled on Polymarket. The outcome is determined by the official game result, not by any subjective interpretation.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Kawasaki Frontale or Fagiano Okayama would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as recent wins or losses, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical announcements from the managers, might prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations, impacting the price of shares in this market.