TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:19 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Japan J. League game between Kawasaki Frontale and Fagiano Okayama, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Kawasaki Frontale vs. Fagiano Okayama match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Japan J. League game between Kawasaki Frontale and Fagiano Okayama, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Kawasaki Frontale vs. Fagiano Okayama match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individuals willing to put their capital at risk. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can reveal where the crowd and the bookmakers diverge in their expectations for the final score.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each exact score outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, these probabilities dynamically adjust, reflecting the evolving collective forecast. The market’s efficiency relies on informed traders and active participation to accurately represent the likelihood of different results.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official score of the Kawasaki Frontale versus Fagiano Okayama match will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded result, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final score and the shares they hold in the corresponding outcome.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Kawasaki Frontale or Fagiano Okayama would likely cause shifts. Significant changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. Weather conditions on match day, tactical announcements from the managers, and even public opinion based on expert analysis could all contribute to movement in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.