TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Katwijk and Kozakken Boys in the Tweede Divisie league. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether Katwijk wins, Kozakken Boys wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Katwijk vs Kozakken Boys professional Tweede Divisie soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the match within regular time; if the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The resolution excludes outcomes determined during extra time or penalty kicks, focusing solely on the result after regular time including stoppage minutes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs. If sportsbooks heavily favor one outcome, you might find different pricing here, especially if there's significant disagreement among traders. It's common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can incorporate information not fully captured by traditional oddsmakers and can change more rapidly with new information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices react to new information or shifts in sentiment. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Katwijk vs Kozakken Boys match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Additionally, updates on team form, recent match results, or even public opinion expressed through polls or social media could impact trading activity. A surprising result in a related match, or even a change in coaching strategy, could also lead to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves before it resolves.