TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Katwijk and IJsselmeervogels, focusing on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The contest is part of the Tweede Divisie league and has three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie. The resolution depends solely on the final score at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Katwijk vs IJsselmeervogels professional Tweede Divisie soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to each possible outcome: Katwijk win, IJsselmeervogels win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a victory for either Katwijk or IJsselmeervogels within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootout results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can influence the price on Kalshi, causing it to diverge. It’s common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth—the number of buy and sell orders at various price points—indicates the level of agreement or disagreement among traders. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Katwijk vs IJsselmeervogels match will be used to determine the winning contract. The platform will rely on official results published by recognized sports authorities to ensure an accurate and impartial resolution. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final price of that contract at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress and stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, public perception and media coverage surrounding the teams and their chances of winning can influence trading activity. Major upsets in related matches or broader league standings could also lead to adjustments in the market price as traders reassess the probabilities of different outcomes for the Katwijk vs IJsselmeervogels match.