TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 4:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a major league. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. The event covers all possible outcomes of the match, including victories for either team or a draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the Katowice vs Wieczysta Krakow professional Ekstraklasa soccer match scheduled for October 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Katowice market occurs if Katowice wins the match within regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Wieczysta Krakow market occurs if Wieczysta Krakow secures a victory within regular time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the match concludes in a draw after regular time. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets are independent of any official affiliations with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions in real-time, creating a constantly evolving assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Katowice vs Wieczysta Krakow match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Match previews from sports analysts, public opinion polls, and even weather forecasts could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants, or even coordinated activity, can cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves.