TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in Poland's top league. Bettors can speculate on which team will win or if the game will end in a draw within the standard match duration. The result is determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes of play, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Katowice market occurs if Katowice wins the match within regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Pogon Szczecin occurs if they secure a victory within the same timeframe. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if both teams finish level after regulation time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. No extra time or penalty shootout results influence these markets.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than traditional betting markets, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of true probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of it happening. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price is determined by the forces of supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on their own analysis and expectations for the Polish Ekstraklasa match.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Polish Ekstraklasa match between Katowice and Pogon Szczecin as reported by official league sources. The final score will determine which outcome corresponds to the correct prediction. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, impacting playing style and potentially the outcome. Furthermore, performance in recent matches, tactical adjustments, and even pre-game analysis from sports commentators can all contribute to changes in market sentiment. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.