TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

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40,428

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller: Round of Victory
kalshi

What is the result of Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller?

Volume:
$28,373

Katlyn Cerminara to win in Round 1

 - Kalshi

Katlyn Cerminara to win in Round 1 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 6:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Katlyn Cerminara to win in Round 1

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,339
N/A
N/A
$2,575
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Katlyn Cerminara to win in Round 3

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,563
N/A
N/A
$7,514
Settled
No
kalshi

Katlyn Cerminara to win in Round 2

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,033
N/A
N/A
$7,007
Settled
No
kalshi

Mackenzie Stiller to win in Round 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,558
N/A
N/A
$4,223
Settled
No
kalshi

Mackenzie Stiller to win in Round 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,765
N/A
N/A
$3,585
Settled
No
kalshi

Mackenzie Stiller to win in Round 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$574
N/A
N/A
$569
Settled
No
kalshi

Decision / Draw / No Contest

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$541
N/A
N/A
$510
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market focuses on predicting exactly which round Katlyn Cerminara or Mackenzie Stiller will secure a decisive victory over their opponent in an upcoming UFC fight. Outcomes include specific round wins via knockout, technical knockout, submission, or disqualification, as well as a broader category for decisions, draws, or no contests.

Kalshi

The event determines whether Katlyn Cerminara or Mackenzie Stiller will achieve a victory via knockout (KO), technical knockout (TKO), submission, or disqualification (DQ) in a specified round of their scheduled UFC Fight Night bout on October 17, 2026, or if the fight concludes by decision, draw, or no contest. Each market corresponds to a specific round (Round 1, Round 2, or Round 3) for each fighter, with an additional market covering decision/draw/no contest outcomes. A victory by technical decision is treated as a decision and resolves the 'Decision / Draw / No Contest' market, without counting as a round-specific win. The markets are independent, meaning a single fight outcome can only resolve one market — either a specific round win for one fighter or the decision/draw/no contest outcome. No contest includes scenarios such as injury, foul, or other official stoppages before a definitive win is determined.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Cerminara vs. Stiller match tracks the current odds of each fighter winning, along with a price history showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $20,802, and the total volume traded to date, which is $28,373. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and how actively traders are participating in this market. The top market currently is determining which fighter will win.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real money changing hands. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of volume is traded. These differences can arise from varying levels of information or differing interpretations of the same information, and can be a useful signal for informed bettors.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Cerminara vs. Stiller match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of each fighter’s chances of winning.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller fight, as determined by the relevant sporting authority. This includes verifying the winner of the match according to the official fight record. Traders holding contracts on the winning fighter will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing fighter will not.

Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks could also drive activity on Kalshi. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated fight predictions from reputable sources can all contribute to shifts in the market’s pricing. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning has the potential to move the market.