TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Kataller Toyama vs. Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Kataller Toyama vs. Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo?

Volume:
$100,324

Sapporo

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 2:58 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sapporo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$36,557
N/A
N/A
$21,043
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,352
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kataller T

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,539
N/A
N/A
$26,578
Settled
No
polymarket

Kataller Toyama

View
0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,770
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,911
N/A
N/A
$15,838
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Kataller Toyama vs. Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo)

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$196
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a J2 League soccer match between Kataller Toyama and Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo on October 25, 2026. Markets exist for Toyama winning, Sapporo winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi's treatment is ambiguous.Hero tip: Consider the probability of cancellation when trading. Polymarket 'No' outcomes have a built-in advantage if a cancellation occurs.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled with no make-up game. Uses a hierarchy of official statistics, Flashscore, and Sofascore for resolution. Resolution within 90 minutes + stoppage time.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit mention of cancellation handling, implying standard sports event resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming J2 League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026 between Kataller Toyama and Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Kataller T vs Sapporo professional Japan J2 League soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Kataller T wins, the 'Kataller T' market resolves to Yes. If Sapporo wins, the 'Sapporo' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers the result after regulation time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to profit by setting lines that attract balanced betting, while prediction market traders are incentivized to express their true beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when significant information isn’t yet reflected in sportsbook lines. However, sportsbooks typically offer simpler interfaces and wider accessibility. The volume of $100,324 in this market indicates the level of interest and potential price discovery.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to a variety of factors, including differing user bases, trading fees, and market-specific liquidity. Each platform attracts a different pool of traders with potentially varying expertise and information. Additionally, the design of each platform – including order types and market rules – can influence price formation. For example, Polymarket may have a higher concentration of sophisticated traders, while Kalshi might be more accessible to casual participants. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies.