TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:16 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Kasımpaşa SK and Samsunspor, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Kasımpaşa SK" if Kasımpaşa SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Samsunspor" if Samsunspor are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Kasımpaşa SK and Samsunspor, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Kasımpaşa SK" if Kasımpaşa SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Samsunspor" if Samsunspor are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can drive the odds on Polymarket in a different direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the event's start.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible outcome – in this case, Kasımpaşa SK, Samsunspor, or neither team scoring first. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants regarding the upcoming match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on determining which team, if any, scores the first goal in the Kasımpaşa SK vs. Samsunspor match. Official match data will be used to verify the result. The market will settle to 100% in favor of the team that scores first, or to 100% for 'Neither team to score first' if no goal is scored within the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Kasımpaşa SK or Samsunspor would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups, or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, could all contribute to fluctuations in the price of shares on Polymarket before the match begins.