TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in Turkey's Super Lig league. Bettors can speculate on whether one team will secure a victory or if the game will end in a draw within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the match result after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor professional Super Lig soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026: a win for Kasimpasa, a win for Samsunspor, or a tie, all determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if its specific outcome occurs. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price based on prevailing conditions at that time. The event explicitly states no affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market aims to represent the true probability of an outcome as assessed by traders. It’s common to see differences emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics and expert analysis, this market can quickly adjust to incorporate insights from a wider range of participants and potentially reveal a different perspective on the likely result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with buyers pushing prices up and sellers pushing them down. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly efficient and accurate prediction of the Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor match result.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day or even pre-match interviews with key players could also have an impact. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in other betting markets or sports news, can also drive price movements. Essentially, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning has the potential to move this market.