TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Kasian Danylo and Ponomarenko Dmytro in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 25 at 6:35AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kasian Danylo' if Kasian Danylo wins against Ponomarenko Dmytro. This market will resolve to 'Ponomarenko Dmytro' if Ponomarenko Dmytro wins against Kasian Danylo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Kasian Danylo and Ponomarenko Dmytro in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 25 at 6:35AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kasian Danylo' if Kasian Danylo wins against Ponomarenko Dmytro. This market will resolve to 'Ponomarenko Dmytro' if Ponomarenko Dmytro wins against Kasian Danylo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could signal an opportunity for informed traders. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result of the Kasian vs. Ponomarenko match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is determined by the share price relative to 1; a share priced at 0.60 implies a 60% chance of that outcome. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kasian vs. Ponomarenko match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The specific details of the match result will be used to determine the final settlement.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in their training regimes could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also create volatility. Furthermore, public opinion and expert analysis regarding the players' chances of winning can influence trader sentiment. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could also indirectly affect this market as traders reassess the overall competitive landscape leading up to Nov 1, 2026.