TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 0.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 0.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 08h:33m:53s
$
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Kashiwa and Daejeon Citizen. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the competitive nature of the sport and the potential for high-scoring games.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Kashiwa vs Daejeon Citizen professional AFC Champions League soccer game, originally scheduled for November 3, 2026, exceed specified thresholds after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the actual goals exceed that threshold. The rules clarify that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market is driven by individual predictions and the willingness to buy or sell contracts. Generally, if prediction market odds diverge significantly from sportsbook odds, it suggests that market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event. It's important to note that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored in the Kashiwa vs Daejeon match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the latest information and collective beliefs of participants. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a specific goal total.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Kashiwa vs Daejeon match will be the determining factor. Any goals scored during regular play, including stoppage time, will count towards the final total. The resolution will be based on official match data and will be publicly available. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts align with the actual total goals scored in the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Kashiwa or Daejeon Citizen would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team formations or tactical approaches could shift the perceived probabilities. Finally, large volume trades from individual participants could also create short-term price fluctuations in this market.