TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Kashiwa Reysol vs. Vissel Kōbe
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Kashiwa Reysol vs. Vissel Kōbe?

Volume:
$406,822

Kashiwa

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 8:08 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kashiwa

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$127,392
N/A
N/A
$67,001
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kashiwa Reysol

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$81,963
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kobe

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95,859
N/A
N/A
$53,838
Settled
No
polymarket

Vissel Kōbe

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,145
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49,170
N/A
N/A
$30,441
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Kashiwa Reysol vs. Vissel Kōbe)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,293
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Kashiwa Reysol will win their J1 League soccer match against Vissel Kōbe on October 9, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Kashiwa Reysol winning is 100.0%. This forecast is an aggregation of data from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the official results reported by https://www.jleague.jp/en/. Keep an eye on the official J1 League schedule as the October 9, 2026 match date approaches to confirm the game remains scheduled and will contribute to market resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi does not address this scenario.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers a defined outcome in this case, while Kalshi's market may remain open indefinitely.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, Flashscore, and Sofascore as fallback sources. Resolution timeframe is within 24 hours of event conclusion, or resolves 50-50 if data unavailable.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit mention of cancellation handling. Implies resolution only occurs if a win/tie result is achieved.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Japan J. League game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between Kashiwa Reysol and Vissel Kōbe.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Kashiwa vs Kobe professional Japan J1 League soccer match scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: a win for Kashiwa, a win for Kobe, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootout results.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from imbalances, while prediction markets aggregate individual beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. The difference in odds can sometimes indicate where sharp money is flowing or where the market anticipates information not yet priced into sportsbook lines.

Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information, leading to differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Kashiwa Reysol vs. Vissel Kōbe match. Furthermore, trading volume and liquidity can vary significantly between the two venues, impacting price discovery. Different fee structures and market-making activity on each platform also contribute to potential price discrepancies, reflecting the unique dynamics of each prediction market.