TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:19 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Kashiwa Reysol and Urawa Red Diamonds, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Kashiwa Reysol" if Kashiwa Reysol are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Urawa Red Diamonds" if Urawa Red Diamonds are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Kashiwa Reysol and Urawa Red Diamonds, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Kashiwa Reysol" if Kashiwa Reysol are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Urawa Red Diamonds" if Urawa Red Diamonds are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probability of each outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as new information emerges and traders react to it. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the influence of market sentiment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Kashiwa Reysol or Urawa Red Diamonds will score first. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing perspectives, providing a real-time assessment of the likely first goalscorer in this match.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds match. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on publicly available and widely accepted match data. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches and following its completion.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Kashiwa Reysol or Urawa Red Diamonds would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as recent match results or tactical adjustments, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might impact playing style and therefore influence predictions. Finally, any significant public endorsements or expert analysis favoring one team over the other could also contribute to changes in the market’s probabilities.