TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:02 AM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Kashiwa Reysol and Urawa Red Diamonds scheduled for October 31, 2026. Markets exist for Kashiwa Reysol winning, Urawa Red Diamonds winning, and the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming Japan J. League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 31, 2026 between Kashiwa Reysol and Urawa Red Diamonds.
The event resolves based on the result of the Kashiwa vs Urawa professional Japan J1 League soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Kashiwa wins, the 'Kashiwa' market resolves to Yes. If Urawa wins, the 'Urawa' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing only on the regulation time result.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in prices between Polymarket and Kalshi for the J1 League match market can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information regarding Japanese football. Trading volume, while currently at $338,258, can be significantly higher on one platform than the other, impacting price discovery. Furthermore, differing fee structures and platform-specific rules can influence trading behavior. The composition of traders and their individual risk tolerance also contribute to these price discrepancies, leading to varied assessments of the probabilities surrounding the Kashiwa Reysol versus Urawa Red Diamonds match.