TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Kashima Antlers vs. Tōkyō Verdy
Volume:
$103,867
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Japan J1 League soccer match between Kashima Antlers and Tōkyō Verdy scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market includes a cancellation clause (resolves YES if game canceled with no make-up), while Kalshi markets lack explicit cancellation guidance. This creates asymmetric resolution paths for a full-event-cancellation scenario.Hero Tip:
Monitor J-League official communications for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled entirely with no rescheduled date, expect Polymarket's draw market to resolve YES while win/loss markets resolve NO. Confirm with each platform whether a rescheduled match counts as the original event or triggers cancellation clauses.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: Kashima win (YES if Kashima wins), Tokyo V win (YES if Tokyo V wins), and draw (YES if tie). All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Draw market explicitly states: If game canceled entirely with no make-up, resolves YES. Otherwise resolves based on match outcome. Resolution source: official J-League statistics or credible consensus if not published within 2 hours of conclusion.
- Kalshi: Three combined outcomes: Kashima win resolves YES, Tie resolves YES, Tokyo V win resolves YES—each only if that specific outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Implies all three markets resolve NO if match does not occur or is canceled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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