TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 1:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Karvina and Dukla Prague in the Czech National Football League. The result is determined by which team wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the game ends with both teams level, it is considered a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Karvina vs Dukla Prague professional Czech National Football League soccer match scheduled for October 16, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following defined procedures. The event exclusively considers results from regular time, with no account for extra time, penalty kicks, or other post-regulation deciding factors.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and attempt to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the collective beliefs of individuals trading contracts. If a significant number of traders believe an outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded on Kalshi for this event, as market participants incorporate diverse information and perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Karvina vs Dukla Prague match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who buy a contract, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and generate a forecast based on the collective intelligence of those trading.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Karvina vs Dukla Prague match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable, or positive/negative reports on team morale, are likely to cause price fluctuations. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could also move the market, as others react to their actions. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements.