TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
In the 2026 League of Legends Worlds championship, Karmine Corp and Cloud9 will face off in a best-of-five series. The outcome of this specific map will determine whether Karmine Corp or Cloud9 secures an early advantage in the match.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the designated map in the scheduled match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the result is determined by the official outcome published by the tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective prediction of informed traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could suggest that prediction market participants have access to information or insights not yet fully incorporated into traditional betting lines. It’s worth noting that prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate than traditional forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of the corresponding contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of traders.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of Map 3 in the Karmine Corp vs. Cloud9 match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either Karmine Corp or Cloud9 could shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during earlier maps in the series, if available, might also impact expectations for Map 3. Major upsets in other concurrent esports events could also create broader shifts in confidence regarding team capabilities. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning Map 3 has the potential to move this market.