TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 6:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Karmine Corp will win their League of Legends match against Cloud9 at the Worlds 2026 tournament. Currently, Kalshi gives Karmine Corp a 56.0% probability of winning, while Cloud9 has a 45.0% probability. The market resolves based on the official result of the match originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT, as reported by the tournament organizers. Keep a close watch on the start of the Worlds 2026 tournament on October 15, 2026, as that marks the beginning of the event window for this market’s resolution.
The event resolves based on the result of the Worlds 2026 League of Legends match between Karmine Corp and Cloud9 scheduled for October 15, 2026, at 7:00 PM EDT. If Karmine Corp wins the match, the Karmine Corp market resolves to Yes, and the Cloud9 market resolves to No. Conversely, if Cloud9 wins the match, the Cloud9 market resolves to Yes, and the Karmine Corp market resolves to No. Should the match be postponed and not commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, both markets resolve to their respective fair market prices. If the match is cancelled before any play begins, or if either team forfeits prior to the start of play, both markets also resolve to their fair market prices. If the match begins but is later forfeited by either team, the outcome is determined by the official result declared by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will move in that direction. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks in accuracy, as they aggregate diverse perspectives and react quickly to new information. This can be a useful comparison when evaluating potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes in the Karmine Corp vs. Cloud9 match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. Essentially, the market determines the odds based on supply and demand for each potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Karmine Corp vs. Cloud9 match as determined by the event organizers. The platform will then verify the result against these sources to finalize the settlement of all contracts. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team strategies, or changes in the competitive landscape could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi could create momentum and drive price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into how the market is reacting to new information and potential shifts in the perceived probabilities of each outcome.