TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Ettan soccer match between Karlstad Fotbol and Arlanda. The market will determine whether Karlstad Fotbol, Arlanda, or neither (a tie) secures a victory within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The result is based solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Karlstad Fotbol vs Arlanda professional Ettan soccer game scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Karlstad Fotbol wins, the 'Karlstad Fotbol' market resolves to Yes. If Arlanda wins, the 'Arlanda' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing only on the result within regular time.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals freely buying and selling contracts based on their own beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying levels of information access, differing interpretations of data, or simply the influence of public sentiment. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise in assessing the perceived probabilities of different outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders directly set the odds by placing buy and sell orders for contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The current market depth shows the available contracts at various price points, allowing traders to analyze potential entry and exit strategies. The goal is to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Karlstad vs Arlanda match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. This means that the market will settle based on the final score and the winning team (or a draw, if applicable). Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment. The precise timing of resolution may depend on the speed of official result confirmation.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions would likely have a significant impact. Weather conditions on match day could also play a role, particularly if they favor one team's playing style over the other. Furthermore, shifts in public sentiment, driven by media coverage or social media discussions, can influence trader behavior. Finally, any late-breaking information about team tactics or strategic adjustments could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.