TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:32 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game between Karlsruher SC and SV Darmstadt 98, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Karlsruher SC vs. SV Darmstadt 98 match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game between Karlsruher SC and SV Darmstadt 98, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Karlsruher SC vs. SV Darmstadt 98 match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible exact score. As more shares are traded for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Traders are incentivized to set accurate probabilities, as profitable trades depend on correctly assessing the likelihood of each result. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Karlsruher SC vs. SV Darmstadt 98 match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score at the end of regulation time will determine the winning outcome. The platform will utilize publicly available and trusted sources to verify the result. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified score, and the market will close once the outcome is definitively established.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Karlsruher SC or SV Darmstadt 98 could significantly shift probabilities. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to suspensions or other disciplinary actions affecting players could also move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths will likely be reflected in the trading volume and price movements.