This event group covers the football match between Karlsruher SC and DSC Arminia Bielefeld scheduled for April 10, 2026, in the German 2. Bundesliga. Three related markets track the possible outcomes: whether Karlsruher SC wins, whether Bielefeld wins, or whether the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 10, 2026, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga 2 statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Karlsruher SC wins (YES on Polymarket Karlsruher win market and Kalshi Karlsruhe market), DSC Arminia Bielefeld wins (YES on Polymarket Bielefeld win market and Kalshi Bielefeld market), or Draw (YES on Polymarket draw market and Kalshi Tie market).
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket draw market resolves YES and Polymarket win markets resolve NO; Kalshi markets do not resolve under this scenario per standard cancellation protocol.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the April 10, 2026 match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution then occurs based on the final outcome of the completed match.
Match Cancellation Without Make-up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES (per explicit terms) while Polymarket's win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's resolution in this scenario follows standard cancellation procedures.
Resolution Source Hierarchy: Official Bundesliga 2 governing body statistics are the primary source. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting sources is used as the fallback.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon completion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 10, 2026, with official confirmation from Bundesliga 2 sources within 2 hours post-match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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