TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:23 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional Bundesliga 2 soccer match between Karlsruhe and Darmstadt. The focus is on determining whether Karlsruhe, Darmstadt, or neither (a tie) secures a victory within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The result reflects the immediate post-match standings without considering extended play or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Karlsruhe vs Darmstadt Bundesliga 2 match scheduled for October 18, 2026, determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for Karlsruhe or Darmstadt occurs only if that team wins the match outright within regulation time. If the teams finish level at the end of regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the match be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will settle at a fair price as determined per platform policy. The platform disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public opinion diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information and perspectives that sportsbooks might overlook, resulting in potentially more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Karlsruhe vs Darmstadt match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the final score. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on the day of the match could also play a role. Furthermore, public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can impact trading volume and price movements. Major upsets in other related matches or broader sporting events might also indirectly affect this market as traders reassess probabilities.