TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 4:31 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Karelov Maksym and Lukianevych Valerii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 8 at 2:05PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karelov Maksym' if Karelov Maksym wins against Lukianevych Valerii. This market will resolve to 'Lukianevych Valerii' if Lukianevych Valerii wins against Karelov Maksym. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Karelov Maksym and Lukianevych Valerii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 8 at 2:05PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karelov Maksym' if Karelov Maksym wins against Lukianevych Valerii. This market will resolve to 'Lukianevych Valerii' if Lukianevych Valerii wins against Karelov Maksym. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event's likelihood. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering an edge to informed traders. Examining both can provide a more complete picture.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as prices adjust based on demand.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Karelov vs. Lukianevych match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified outcome. It’s important to monitor official sources as the event approaches to understand the factors that will determine the final result and ensure timely resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market leading up to Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players’ form or performance in preceding matches could also have a significant impact. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role, though this market is ultimately driven by traders' own assessments. Monitoring these signals can help you anticipate potential shifts in the market and refine your predictions.