TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:52 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Karagumruk and Keciorengucu in the TFF 1. Lig league. The market will determine whether Karagumruk wins, Keciorengucu wins, or the game ends in a tie based on the full-time result after regular play. Any changes to the match schedule or cancellation will be handled according to specific fairness guidelines.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Karagumruk vs Keciorengucu professional TFF 1. Lig soccer match scheduled for October 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Karagumruk wins, the 'Karagumruk' market resolves to Yes; if Keciorengucu wins, the 'Keciorengucu' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The markets are independent of any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the perceived biases of the betting public, while this market allows anyone to express their view. If prediction market odds diverge significantly from sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event, or that new information hasn't yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s a useful comparison for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs about the likelihood of each team winning or a draw occurring in the Karagumruk vs Keciorengucu match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Karagumruk vs Keciorengucu match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a win for Karagumruk, a win for Keciorengucu, or a draw – occurred during the match, and contracts will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could shift expectations. Match previews from reputable sports analysts, and even significant shifts in public sentiment expressed on social media, can also impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions or referee assignments could also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning or a draw occurring has the potential to move this market.