TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 1:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Finnish Ykkosliiga soccer match between Kapylan Pallo and Mikkelin. The result is determined by which team wins after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If the teams finish level, the match ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Kapylan Pallo vs Mikkelin professional Finnish Ykkosliiga soccer match scheduled for October 9, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—extra time and penalty kicks are excluded. If the match ends level after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, all markets resolve to a fair price following defined procedures. The event exclusively considers regulation time outcomes, with no affiliation to the governing league.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates insights from individuals with varying levels of knowledge and perspectives. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome, or when new information emerges that hasn't been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into the perceived probability of various results.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a mechanism to ensure fair price discovery, allowing traders to express their views and potentially profit from accurate predictions. This dynamic pricing system differentiates it from fixed-odds betting found elsewhere.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kapylan Pallo vs Mikkelin match, as reported by a trusted source for sports results. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Significant pre-match analysis from sports analysts, or even public opinion expressed on social media, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate new information or a change in expectations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market leading up to Oct 9, 2026.