TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the number of points a team must exceed for the market to settle positively. The outcomes depend solely on the official game result, regardless of any delays or changes to the schedule within a defined window.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified team scores over the designated point threshold in the Kansas vs Utah college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets cover various point thresholds for both Kansas and Utah, allowing participants to speculate on different levels of scoring performance by either team.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks often set opening lines based on their own models and may incorporate a margin for profit. As more information becomes available and more people trade in this market, the odds tend to converge with what analysts and the public believe is the true probability. However, discrepancies can persist, especially if the prediction market attracts more informed traders or if there are differing opinions on key factors influencing the game. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes, and the prices of these contracts determine the implied probabilities. As more contracts are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order book provide insights into the level of conviction behind different price points. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, driven by the collective actions of traders.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals for both Kansas and Utah are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official scores reported by the governing body of the game. Any adjustments or corrections to the official scores will be reflected in the final resolution. The market will determine which team total outcomes were correctly predicted by traders based on these official results, and payouts will be distributed accordingly.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key players on either Kansas or Utah would be a major catalyst, as would any changes to the starting lineups. Weather conditions on game day could also play a role, potentially impacting scoring. Unexpected news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could shift expectations. Finally, any public statements from analysts or experts offering strong opinions on the likely outcome could influence trading activity and move the odds in this market.