TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Utah will win the college football game against Kansas by more than 2.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives an 84.0% probability to Utah winning by over 2.5 points. The market resolves based on the final score of the Kansas vs Utah game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game’s outcome, as the market will resolve to Yes if Utah wins by more than 23.5 points, with final resolution expected by October 11, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Kansas vs Utah college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For Utah markets, resolution occurs if Utah wins by more than the specified point margin; for Kansas markets, resolution occurs if Kansas wins by more than the specified margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the updated result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn't yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but divergences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Kansas vs Utah game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, their own analysis, and their expectations of how others will trade, leading to a dynamic and evolving price discovery process. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the most likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Kansas vs Utah game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by the governing body of the game. Traders holding contracts on the winning spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing spreads will forfeit their investment. The exact payout amount depends on the final price of the contract at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Kansas or Utah teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could all shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or team performance could also lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals closely can help traders identify potential opportunities before the market fully reacts.