TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:54 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the outcome of a specific segment of a college football game between Kansas and Utah. They evaluate how much one team will win by during the third quarter alone, offering various point spreads to bet on.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the third quarter of the Kansas vs Utah college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point spread threshold, with outcomes ranging from narrow victories to larger margins of victory for either team. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward the resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. If the game does not start within the 48-hour window, the markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, as they reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. Sportsbooks often set lines to attract balanced action, while this market incentivizes participants to express their true beliefs about the probability of each outcome. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful point of comparison. Discrepancies between the two may present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are formed through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different sides of the spread, and the price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of all participants. The current price indicates the probability that the market participants assign to a particular outcome occurring during the 3rd quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 3rd quarter spread is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of the game. The market will determine which side of the spread – Kansas or Utah – performed better during the 3rd quarter. All winning contracts will be paid out at a value of 100, while losing contracts will be worth 0. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objectively verifiable data.
Several factors could influence the Kansas vs Utah spread between now and game day. Any news regarding key player injuries on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team strategy or coaching decisions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on game day might also play a role, potentially favoring one team over the other. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also contribute to price movements, though this market relies on traders’ own assessments rather than external opinions. Major shifts in betting patterns will also move the price.