TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:01 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the point differential between Kansas and Utah specifically within the second quarter of their college football matchup. Each outcome represents a different threshold for how many points the winning team must score over the opponent during that quarter alone.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Kansas vs Utah college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team's point differential exceeds the stated threshold during that quarter. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. No affiliation exists between Kalshi and the NCAA, and all referenced trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, but may be influenced by factors like public betting patterns or a desire to balance action on both sides. This market, like others on Kalshi, allows individuals to express their own predictions, potentially leading to odds that are more accurate or that identify mispricings compared to those offered by sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Kansas vs Utah game’s second quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices efficiently, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of these contracts will fluctuate, providing a dynamic representation of market expectations. The current price indicates what it costs to take one side of the bet.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the second quarter of the Kansas vs Utah game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of the game. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will receive nothing. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly following the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Kansas or Utah teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team strategy, weather forecasts, or even public sentiment expressed through social media could also cause the market to shift. Unexpected line movements from sportsbooks, or even significant betting activity on Kalshi itself, could also trigger price adjustments. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential trading opportunities.