TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:57 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the point differential in the second half of a college football game between Kansas and Utah, focusing exclusively on performance after halftime. Each outcome represents a specific margin by which either team could win the latter portion of the contest.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Kansas vs Utah college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For any market where the specified point differential is met or exceeded in the second half, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result of that game. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds defined in each market.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Kansas vs Utah game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time representation of expectations. Traders are essentially betting on their belief about the final point difference in the second half.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread in the second half of the Kansas vs Utah game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a spread closer to the actual result will have a higher payout value. Resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Kansas or Utah teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact the market. Additionally, real-time performance during the first half of the game, and any strategic adjustments made by the coaches, will be closely watched by traders and could lead to shifts in the Kansas vs Utah spread.