TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Kansas vs TCU: 3rd Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Kansas vs TCU?

Volume:
$23,678

TCU wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

TCU wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 6:16 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

TCU wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,962
N/A
N/A
$11,453
Settled
Yes
kalshi

TCU wins by over 10.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,335
N/A
N/A
$2,335
Settled
Yes
kalshi

TCU wins by over 7.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,119
N/A
N/A
$1,117
Settled
Yes
kalshi

TCU wins by over 3.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$451
N/A
N/A
$335
Settled
Yes
kalshi

TCU wins by over 6.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$394
N/A
N/A
$388
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kansas wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,415
N/A
N/A
$3,675
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas wins by over 3.5 points

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between Kansas and TCU. Outcomes depend solely on which team leads by a specific margin at the end of that quarter, without considering the full game result.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the point difference between Kansas and TCU at the end of the third quarter of the game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning team's margin of victory, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, with separate thresholds for both Kansas and TCU victories. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official third-quarter result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Kansas vs TCU 3rd quarter spread tracks the current price of contracts representing predictions on the point differential in the third quarter of the game. You’ll see a real-time view of the odds, along with a price history chart illustrating how the market has moved over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $22,253, and the total volume traded to date, which is $23,678. This allows you to gauge market activity and sentiment regarding the likely outcome of the third quarter.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading contracts based on their own analysis and information. As a result, you might find that the implied probability of a particular outcome in this market differs from what’s offered by sportsbooks, potentially offering value to informed traders who identify discrepancies between the two.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 3rd quarter spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and those with inaccurate beliefs may lose money. This dynamic process helps to aggregate information and arrive at a market-determined probability for the final spread.

This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread in the third quarter of the Kansas vs TCU game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a spread closer to the actual result will have a higher payout, while those further away will have a lower payout or expire worthless. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and verified against credible public sources.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Kansas or TCU teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also shift the market. Furthermore, as the game approaches, any public statements from coaches or players that reveal strategic insights or confidence levels could move the market. Finally, even large trading volume itself can create momentum and influence prices in this market.