TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:16 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how much either team wins by in the second half of a college football game, focusing solely on performance after halftime. Each outcome represents a different point margin threshold that determines the result.
All markets resolve based on the point differential in the second half (including overtime) of the specified college football game. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team exceeds the stated margin threshold for that market. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves normally. If not started within 48 hours, markets resolve at fair prices. Only points scored from halftime onward count toward resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each market. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available or as public sentiment shifts regarding the game's potential result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second half. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price is determined by the forces of supply and demand, with buyers driving the price up and sellers driving it down, ultimately establishing a consensus view on the likely outcome of the Kansas vs TCU spread.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second half of the Kansas vs TCU game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game results, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning contracts. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results have been verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected developments during the first half of the game, such as a dominant performance by one team, would likely lead to substantial shifts in the market. Public perception, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role, as traders react to evolving narratives surrounding the Kansas vs TCU matchup. Volume of $76,460 suggests active trading, making the market sensitive to new information.