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$235,918,089

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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

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4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Kansas vs Kansas St.: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Kansas vs Kansas St.?

Volume:
$946,060

Kansas St. wins by over 3.5 points

 - Kalshi

Kansas St. wins by over 3.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 3:35 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kansas St. wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$232,167
N/A
N/A
$142,126
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kansas St. wins by over 2.5 points

100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$125,757
N/A
N/A
$85,456
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kansas St. wins by over 9.5 points

100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$80,404
N/A
N/A
$58,714
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kansas St. wins by over 7.5 points

100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$69,539
N/A
N/A
$50,380
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kansas St. wins by over 1.5 points

100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$68,648
N/A
N/A
$58,115
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kansas St. wins by over 6.5 points

100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$62,574
N/A
N/A
$32,131
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kansas St. wins by over 4.5 points

100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$52,221
N/A
N/A
$34,098
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kansas St. wins by over 10.5 points

100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44,314
N/A
N/A
$31,411
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kansas St. wins by over 5.5 points

100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38,423
N/A
N/A
$25,784
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kansas wins by over 4.5 points

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,839
N/A
N/A
$16,516
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas wins by over 2.5 points

0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,287
N/A
N/A
$15,180
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas wins by over 1.5 points

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,758
N/A
N/A
$11,481
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas wins by over 5.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,866
N/A
N/A
$11,234
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas St. wins by over 11.5 points

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,695
N/A
N/A
$9,827
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas wins by over 3.5 points

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,348
N/A
N/A
$7,712
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas wins by over 6.5 points

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,711
N/A
N/A
$6,810
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas St. wins by over 14.5 points

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,283
N/A
N/A
$5,602
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas St. wins by over 27.5 points

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,320
N/A
N/A
$7,210
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas St. wins by over 20.5 points

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,104
N/A
N/A
$7,091
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas wins by over 13.5 points

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,611
N/A
N/A
$6,354
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas wins by over 14.5 points

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,361
N/A
N/A
$5,150
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas St. wins by over 13.5 points

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,371
N/A
N/A
$3,684
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas wins by over 7.5 points

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,244
N/A
N/A
$3,513
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,009
N/A
N/A
$2,906
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas wins by over 9.5 points

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,906
N/A
N/A
$2,516
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 32

Intro

This market tracks whether Kansas State will win the college football game against Kansas by more than 2.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 98.0% probability to Kansas St. wins by over 2.5 points, with resolution determined by the final score of the Kansas vs Kansas St. game as reported by official game results. Participants should closely watch the game itself on October 17, 2026, as the final score will determine whether Kansas State exceeds the 2.5 point margin needed to resolve the market to ‘Yes’.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Kansas vs Kansas St. college football game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. For markets where Kansas St. must win by a specified margin, resolution occurs if Kansas St. wins by more than that margin. For markets where Kansas must win by a specified margin, resolution occurs if Kansas wins by more than that margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Kansas vs Kansas State spread tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different spread outcomes has changed over time, as well as the total volume traded in this market, currently at $946,060. The 24-hour volume is $861,616, indicating recent trading activity. This allows users to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the game’s point differential.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, incorporating factors like team statistics and expert opinions. This market, however, allows traders to express their own beliefs, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. Differences can arise from varying levels of information access and differing interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities over time.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. These prices are determined solely by supply and demand from traders on Kalshi, and are not influenced by external factors or a central authority setting the odds.

This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Kansas vs Kansas State game will be used to determine which contracts settle at 100, and which settle at 0. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by a trusted source for college football scores. Traders will receive payouts based on the final spread and the contracts they hold when this market closes.

Several factors could influence the Kansas vs Kansas State spread market. News regarding key player injuries on either team would likely have a significant impact, as would any changes in coaching strategies or team performance during upcoming games. Unexpected weather forecasts for the game day could also shift the odds. Public sentiment and betting trends, as reflected in trading volume on Kalshi, can also contribute to price movements. Any significant developments related to team morale or off-field issues could also move this market.