TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football matchup between Kansas and Kansas State. It tracks the competitive performance of both teams specifically in the last 15 minutes of regulation play, excluding any overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on the points scored during that designated timeframe.
If Kansas St. wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Kansas vs Kansas St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Kansas vs Kansas St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Kansas vs Kansas St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds, which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance betting action and ensure profitability, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the likely winner of the 4th quarter. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply the collective intelligence of prediction market participants. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either Kansas or Kansas State winning the 4th quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place bets, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Higher prices indicate a greater perceived chance of that outcome occurring, and vice versa. The market dynamically adjusts to incorporate new information and changing opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the 4th quarter of the Kansas vs Kansas State game will be declared the winner, and that will be the basis for settlement. The platform will rely on official game results to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected performance during the earlier parts of the game, or even pre-game analysis from sports analysts, could also cause significant price movements. Public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the game can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in this market.