TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the potential point differential in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, enabling detailed analysis of the game's expected outcome.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Kansas St. vs Colorado college football game scheduled for Oct 31, 2026. If Kansas St. wins, markets specifying a win by more than a certain number of points resolve to Yes if the victory meets or exceeds that margin; otherwise, they resolve to No. Conversely, if Colorado wins, markets specifying a win by more than a certain number of points resolve to Yes if Colorado's victory meets or exceeds that margin; otherwise, they resolve to No. For games postponed but starting within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve per the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds closely mirror those found at sportsbooks, but subtle differences can emerge. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market's odds are driven purely by supply and demand – what bettors are willing to pay. If a significant number of people believe one team will cover, the price will shift accordingly. This can sometimes lead to prediction market odds offering a more accurate reflection of the true probability of an outcome, especially as more information becomes available and the event draws nearer. It’s a good practice to compare both to inform your decisions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Kansas State will cover the spread against Colorado. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the probability of a particular outcome; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of that outcome occurring. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, offering a forward-looking assessment of the game's potential result.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the final, official result of the Kansas State versus Colorado football game, specifically whether Kansas State covers the spread as defined by the initial market conditions. The final score and spread will be verified against trusted sources to determine which contracts will pay out. The market will then close, and winning traders will receive their payouts based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Kansas State or Colorado would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest unfavorable playing conditions, could also shift the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or significant shifts in public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create short-term price fluctuations, so monitoring the trading activity is important.