TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 2:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Kansas State and Colorado. It includes scenarios where either team scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown during the entire match, including any overtime periods.
The market determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Kansas St. vs Colorado college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Colorado scores first, Kansas St. scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown. All touchdowns—offensive, defensive, or special teams—count towards the resolution, including those scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets are independent of any official NCAA affiliation, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to significant news, while this market tends to adjust more gradually as more information becomes available and more traders participate. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities as the event approaches, though sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value depending on the specific circumstances and timing. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence price fluctuations, creating a dynamic environment where prices can shift rapidly based on new information or changes in sentiment. The current price reflects the collective prediction of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first touchdown in the Kansas State vs Colorado game. The official game results will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Please note that the specific timing of resolution may vary slightly depending on the availability of official results, but it will occur as soon as reasonably possible following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Kansas State or Colorado would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to heavily impact the passing or running game, could also shift the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game might also affect trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public information, such as expert analysis or betting trends, could contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new data.