TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of points scored in the final quarter of a college football game between Kansas State and Colorado. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity that bettors can evaluate, focusing solely on the fourth quarter performance.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total points scored by both Kansas State and Colorado in the fourth quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026, excluding overtime. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined points exceed the specified threshold—ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points. Only points scored during the fourth quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information beyond what’s captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If sportsbook odds suggest a strong consensus, you might see similar pricing here. However, if there's disagreement or hidden information—like potential player injuries not yet widely reported—this market may diverge, offering a different perspective on the likely outcome of the Kansas State-Colorado 4th quarter.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 4th quarter total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a particular outcome, and changes in volume and price can signal shifts in sentiment about the game's final quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Kansas State-Colorado game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the 4th quarter will be tallied, and the market will settle based on whether that total is above or below 27.5. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake. The final result will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Kansas State or Colorado would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they impact scoring potential, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first three quarters—such as a dominant offensive showing by one team—could lead traders to adjust their forecasts for the 4th quarter total. Unexpected coaching decisions or late-game strategy adjustments could also play a role.