TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of a specific segment of a college football game between Kansas State and Colorado. It centers exclusively on performance during the second quarter, ignoring the rest of the match.
The markets resolve based on the point differential between Kansas State and Colorado exclusively during the second quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point spread threshold, with outcomes determined solely by scores accumulated in that quarter. If Kansas State exceeds the specified margin over Colorado, the respective 'Kansas St. wins by over X points' markets resolve to Yes; conversely, if Colorado exceeds the specified margin over Kansas State, the corresponding 'Colorado wins by over X points' markets resolve to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original schedule, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might suggest that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may attract different types of bettors.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the second quarter of the Kansas State versus Colorado football game will be used to determine which contracts payout. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their purchased contracts align with the actual spread.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Kansas State or Colorado teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also affect trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, could also contribute to shifts in the market.