TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:42 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the outcome of a college football game between Kansas State and Colorado, specifically analyzing how much one team might outscore the other in the second half of play. Each market represents a different point differential threshold that determines a winning condition.
All markets resolve based on the point differential between Kansas State and Colorado in the second half (including overtime) of their college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team meets or exceeds the specified point differential threshold for that market during this period. For Kansas State markets, this means they must win by more than the listed margin; for Colorado markets, they must win by more than the listed margin. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the second half count toward these outcomes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the price here may shift in response, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. It’s a fascinating comparison to observe how collective intelligence weighs in against professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Kansas State-Colorado spread. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants trading in this market, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the second half spread in the Kansas State versus Colorado football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as determined by the governing body of college football. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final price of the contract at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly impact the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Kansas State or Colorado would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or significant shifts in team performance during other games could also play a role. Essentially, any information that alters perceptions of either team’s chances of covering the spread has the potential to move this market before Oct 31, 2026.