TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:34 PM EST
Kalshi
The event refers to a college football game between two teams originally scheduled for a specific date. It will be considered to have occurred if the game goes beyond the regular playing time into additional periods. The focus is on whether the game length extends past its standard duration.
If at least 1 overtime period is played in the Kansas St. vs Arizona St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own beliefs, which can lead to odds that diverge from sportsbook lines, particularly as new information emerges. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional sources, potentially offering a more accurate forecast of the game’s outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust, reflecting the collective expectation. The market efficiently incorporates new information, meaning prices can shift rapidly based on news, injuries, or other relevant developments related to the Kansas State vs Arizona State game.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the final result of the Kansas State vs Arizona State game, including any overtime periods. The final score will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Kansas State or Arizona State would likely cause price movement. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news about the teams' strategies or internal dynamics might also shift expectations. The closer we get to Oct 24, 2026, the more sensitive this market will be to any new information impacting the perceived probabilities of each team winning.