TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football matchup. It provides a way to bet on the momentum and performance of Kansas State and Arizona State during the last period of play, excluding any overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on 4th quarter scoring, not the overall game result.
If Arizona St. wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Kansas St. vs Arizona St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas St. wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Kansas St. vs Arizona St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Kansas St. vs Arizona St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by sportsbooks, reflecting the 'wisdom of the crowd' versus the opinions of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information, as they are continuously updated by trader activity. Examining these differences can reveal valuable insights into public perception and potential value bets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, providing a forward-looking assessment of the game's potential results. The current market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team wins the fourth quarter of the Kansas State vs Arizona State game. The result will be based on official game statistics and final scores as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, providing a definitive resolution for all participants in this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or unexpected weather conditions could influence trader behavior. Significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by pre-game analysis or media coverage, might also cause price fluctuations. Late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. Monitoring these factors and their potential impact on the game's outcome is crucial for understanding how this market might evolve.