TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines which team will score more points in the third quarter of the college football game between Kansas State and Arizona State scheduled for October 24, 2026. It focuses solely on the performance during that specific quarter, not the overall game result.
If Arizona St. wins the 3rd quarter of the Kansas St. vs Arizona St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas St. wins the 3rd quarter of the Kansas St. vs Arizona St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 3rd quarter of the Kansas St. vs Arizona St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market tends to converge towards what traders collectively believe is the most likely outcome. However, as the event approaches, these odds often become more aligned as both markets incorporate new information. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks in accuracy, especially when there's significant public interest in the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly adjusting to new information and changing perceptions about the Kansas State vs Arizona State game.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the winner of the third quarter of the Kansas State vs Arizona State game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to view the final result and any relevant documentation on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Kansas State or Arizona State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather conditions could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the game can influence trader behavior. Late-breaking news, even seemingly minor details, can lead to shifts in the odds as traders react to new information before the game concludes.